HealthLumen

HealthLumen are specialists in quantifying the burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) into the future.

 

Our platform, based on powerful microsimulation technology, enables us to simulate the health and economic impact of proposed interventions before real-world implementation. We provide actionable insights, and generate evidence, to support organisations in both the public and private sector with making key decisions in the lifecycle of a product or service and supporting the case for policy change. Extensively published and validated it is a leading model for determining trends in NCDs and risk factors, enabling the planning of interventions from prevention, management, treatment and long-term care.

 

Our microsimulation model has a long and well-established heritage. The model was first developed for the UK Government’s Foresight Programme on “Tackling Obesities: Future Choices“ in 2005. The model has since been developed for over 70 national and regional populations covering over 20 NCDs including obesity, type 2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, COPD, stroke, hypertension, cancer, liver disease, chronic kidney disease, asthma, and dementia. We model populations of up to 100 million people into the future and examine how different kinds of health risks will affect them. Our model works dynamically, tracking real change, showing how your chosen population’s health will evolve and transform over time.